The Midterm Elections Were Neither the End or a Beginning for Online Poker
The midterm elections are now in the books and I have been reading the various opinions how this will affect online poker legalization in the United States.
A lot of focus has been placed on whether RAWA will find its way to a vote in Congress and if so, whether it will pass. Steve Ruddock is headlining those that are speculating whether Harry Reid will find a way to push an online poker bill through before the end of the lame duck session.
Here are my thoughts on both matters:
1. While RAWA has certainly garnered more attention than any recent online poker bill, I still don't see the necessary support to get it through Congress during Lame Duck. I'm not going to say that it won't go to a vote. I'd put the odds of it going to a vote at about 50-50.
2. Reid may be on his way out as Senate Majority Leader, but that doesn't change the fact that we don't have the support to push an online poker bill through. Other than a so-called sense of desperation, nothing else really has changed this year that would convince me that a bill would have any chance of even coming to a vote. I'd put the odds of an online poker bill coming to a vote at 30% tops.
When the next Congress takes their seats, I expect we will be no closer to legalizing online poker at the federal level than we are now. At the same time, I don't see it getting banned either.
With that said, I will hold with a prediction made back in April. I said then that my next prediction on when we see federal legislation will be after the next President takes office..in 2017.